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00:00for the santa anita derby preview this is going to go as race number 10 on saturday
00:05and alexa there are only five horses in this field and they created a new rule last year
00:11because they wanted to make sure that would where all these horses are trying to qualify
00:15that the playing field is as even as possible so if there aren't a lot of horses in some of
00:20these fields there are going to be less qualifying points offered so in this particular race we're
00:25going to be talking about since there are less than six starters there are 20 there's a 25 percent
00:31point reduction so that means the winner gets 75 points the runner-up gets 37 and a half
00:37third place finisher gets 18.75 uh because they just want to make it even if you're only facing
00:43small fields out on the west coast that's really not the same thing as having to beat 10 or 12
00:48other horses on the east coast or in the midwest so i think that's a very fair rule even being
00:53someone out here on the west coast who uh you know it's gonna maybe impact some of these horses
00:57negatively if they can't get enough points but i think that's very fair it's very fair and there's
01:03i think another tier as well like if it were less than five i think it cuts to half right so if one
01:09horse were to scratch out of this race um the points would reduce again so i do think it's a
01:14fair rule it makes a lot of sense obviously a horse winning against four others is much difference
01:19than beating 11 others so and what's really interesting about this race alexa is while it's
01:25not as big of a field as we talked about in the bluegrass or in the wood memorial there are three
01:32horses in this race where if they win they're going to be one of the top betting choices in
01:37the field because right now david aragona made journalism the favorite so if the race were run
01:43today he thinks journalism would be the horse with the shortest odds citizen bull was your
01:49two-year-old champion from last year and barnes has one of the highest speed figures and speed
01:55ratings that we've seen run this year so while it's not the biggest field in the world it's
01:59certainly a field with some quality and kind of an intriguing group to talk about yeah it's i was
02:05kind of thinking okay five horse field here we go gonna roll right through it and then i was like
02:09this is tough yeah because you picking a winner you can really make a case i think for for four
02:15of these five honestly as we go through the field and we start with journalism his win in the san
02:20felipe uh most recently on march the first that was the best race that any horse in this division
02:27has run any of the horses in florida or in kentucky or in california nobody has run a faster
02:34better race than journalism has so i'll give him a lot of credit for that but when we're talking
02:40about saturday can he run as good of a race or faster or does he probably regress a little bit
02:47because he ran such a big race last time i don't know i mean that race was simply dominant and
02:54and just didn't even need all of what journalism had in the tank so um since then trainer michael
03:01mccarthy's put in three maintenance works um and there's two other speedy horses in here so i
03:06think journalism is going to get a perfect trip on paper where he can just sit off and and close so
03:13journalism i'm sure will probably be the favorite you think yeah yeah he's and he's the horse to
03:19beat and he what was so impressive about him is he won that race in the san felipe and it was his
03:26first start of the year so he probably wasn't even at his best in that race yeah he can probably take
03:32a step forward off of that have a little bit more fitness built into him after that race and
03:38remember they're probably trying to point to peak and the first saturday in may so it's kind of a
03:46fun little like back and forth where your horse is going great you want him to keep going well
03:50you don't want to run your best race necessarily on saturday you want to still be able to run a
03:55little bit better than that uh he's going to be really really tough to hold off though he's a fun
03:59horse and i can absolutely understand why anyone thinks of him as the horse to beat right now in
04:05the san anita derby and in the kentucky derby but he's going to face some bob baffert runners uh
04:11right next door to him he's got citizen bull who was the two-year-old champion he won the
04:16breeder's cup juvenile and he most recently won the bob lewis that was his first start of the year
04:22so alexa it's kind of tough to knock what he's done he's four for five and he's won his last
04:27three races in a row yeah he's he's a champ as well i mean he's got enough points already for
04:33the derby and workouts have been really steady he had a bullet workout saturday morning which
04:39shows bob baffert has him you know cranked up and ready to go for this race so um he's gonna be
04:46tough as well