• 2 days ago
Transcript
00:0095-7 the game, breaking news.
00:07Jonathan Kaminga's not playing tonight.
00:09The Warriors have announced that Jonathan Kaminga, because of the pelvic contusion suffered
00:15in the game on Sunday against the San Antonio Spurs, he is not ready to go.
00:20He has been ruled out for the Warriors in this game in Memphis that starts in a matter
00:26of hours.
00:27Yeah, no shock, really.
00:29No shock.
00:30When you have a player have a fall, like he had, and he goes to the locker room and he
00:34does not come back, and that happened in the first quarter, late first quarter, he played
00:38six minutes, he's 22 years old, and when you do that, and you go into the locker room and
00:43you get evaluated and it's determined that you shouldn't come back, well, yeah, that's
00:48going to be the way this goes, and it was only two days ago, and so my thought goes
00:52to Thursday.
00:53Can he get ready for Thursday, or is it going to be not until Friday, back home against
00:58Denver, and so now all eyes go to the age-old question of, are the Warriors better without
01:05Jonathan Kaminga, and I'm not trying to make this about that, because you and I agreed
01:09yesterday that we didn't want to make our whole world about that, but tonight does become
01:15an interesting look at another game with Steph, Draymond, and Jimmy without Kaminga.
01:21No way around it, and my mind does also go to who's guarding Ja, and I think that Moses
01:26Moody is probably answer number one for now, and then we see where that goes, does Jimmy
01:33Butler get a turn, obviously it's going to be a rotation and all of that.
01:39I will pass this along, and this is not to be a cherry picker at all, and it's not even
01:46to build on the question you just threw out there, but in listening to the guys earlier
01:51today talk about, ooh, what if you're down GP2, and you're down, what if you're down
01:56Jonathan Kaminga, well, here's the barometer that I use for that, because this is as topped
02:03in and as deep into analytics of a player as you can go.
02:08The Warriors, as of two hours ago, when we got here to start the show, the Warriors are
02:15a four-point favorite in Memphis tonight, they're minus four.
02:19Right now, that's where it was.
02:22This news just came out, and now the Warriors are a four-point favorite in Memphis tonight.
02:31Yeah, so no movement.
02:32None.
02:33No movement.
02:34And very few players move the line.
02:37I mean...
02:39Any star-level player, Butler or Curry, that moves the line.
02:43Right, Draymond doesn't move the line.
02:45I'm not sure about that, I'm not sure about that.
02:48I mean, it might move it a half a point or a point at most, but Jonathan Kaminga's not
02:53a starter.
02:54If they announce Desmond Bain out, like, that line probably pops a half point or a point.
03:00If Jaws out, it probably pops a point or more.
03:03Yeah, same with Jaron Jackson.
03:04But it's different, like, the NFL, if a quarterback is out, that thing could move from four to
03:08nine points.
03:09Absolutely, absolutely.
03:10Like, again, I'm not saying all of that to make it sound like some sort of shot at Jonathan,
03:17but that's the landscape of Golden State Warrior basketball in the minds of those who
03:25are...
03:26They've got no dog in the fight, this is math, this is analytics, and this is money.
03:32And their take on Jonathan Kaminga being out is, that does not move the meter.
03:39Not even a little bit.
03:40Right.
03:41And I'm looking at ESPN bet, and it opened at three and a half, and it's been bet up
03:45to four and a half.
03:46Even through all of the Kaminga uncertainty, and Memphis coming off a loss, and playing
03:51a back-to-back, the money is coming on Golden State, and the spread has moved from three
03:56and a half to four and a half.
03:58That being said, when you look at this game now, not that the Warriors should win, but
04:03they are favored on the road, and even though you don't have Jonathan Kaminga, this is,
04:07if we want to look at the next four games, and the Grizzlies just fired their head coach
04:13even though they're a five seed, and they're coming off a game against Boston last night,
04:18this is the one of the four that you look at and say, we need this one.
04:21Gotta get it.
04:22Gotta get it.
04:23Gotta get it.