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00:00Lacey is on Auburn, coach is on Florida.
00:04I break the tie and I will take the Tigers in this spot as well.
00:10The spread of math on this game would make your head spin if you allowed me to go all
00:14the way back to their meeting in the beginning of February where Auburn was a double-digit
00:20favorite in their own building.
00:22That though was a turning point undoubtedly for the Gators, a turning point not just in
00:28their season but in their perception.
00:30All of the odds started to go, oh, wait a minute, this team's the real deal.
00:35Futures and their game-to-game booking, you could see that shift begin.
00:42But I go back to just the SEC tournament where Auburn was the clear favorite heading into
00:47that tournament and Auburn was a bigger favorite in their semifinal game, albeit a loss to
00:51Tennessee than Florida was in the final game against the Volunteers.
00:56I think for me, this number has moved a lot because of how Auburn closed the season.
01:02I think it's fascinating that Florida's tournament struggles, at least that's how I view them,
01:08are not factoring into this number.
01:10Maybe I should be playing money line, but I'm the crazy one who's going to just take
01:14the two-and-a-half points because if this goes down to the buzzer, I'd rather have my
01:17two-and-a-half points, Joe.
01:18Your protection.
01:19All right.
01:20Okay.
01:21Kid gloves.
01:23Go big or go home, but it's a pretty good look, especially when you talk about how the
01:28favorites have dominated.
01:30From the money line perspective, I understand in terms of taking the points here.
01:34The favorite thing, though, for me, that's over.
01:36I understand that there are favorites in this game, but people have made a killing throughout
01:40the tournament in terms of the money line.
01:42Back in the big game.
01:43They're going to do it again, though.
01:44There's going to be Florida-Duke money line parlays here all day.
01:47Absolutely.
01:48Someone's going to have to smash or maybe a double smash.
01:52You're right about that.
01:53I think at the end of the regular season, you would want Auburn to be playing their
01:58best basketball.
01:59They lost games down the stretch.
02:01They got knocked out of the tournament, and they've seemed to regroup, but again, I look
02:05at the body of work as well.
02:07They played a very good Creighton team, a Creighton team that at that particular time
02:11was trending.
02:12They put up 80-plus on them.
02:14That Creighton team was eight-and-a-half, nine-point underdogs, and they still covered
02:18that line.
02:19They got a hot team in terms of Michigan, held Donaldson, held that offense in check,
02:24even though Danny Boy Wolfe broke out with a huge performance, a huge performance.
02:31They kept them in check.
02:34Once they got the lead, once they were down, all of a sudden, they never relinquished it.
02:38Then Michigan State, even though it was a four-point game, they never really got within
02:42striking distance.
02:43Even though Broome was hurt, they kept them at bay.
02:45They win that ballgame by four.
02:47I still like Auburn here.
02:49I think they're battle-tested.
02:50Obviously, it's not just Broome, though.
02:52Pettiford coach, Miles Kelly, needs a better effort.
02:55He's a player I'm looking at in terms of the offensive perspective.
02:58He started fast with seven first-half points last week.
03:01He buries a three, doesn't really get going in terms of the second half.
03:05Today against Walter Clayton in that defense for Florida, I expect a guard play to step
03:10up.
03:11Miles Kelly, I think he's plus 210 for 15-plus today.
03:14I expect him to have a big day.
03:16One thing, coach, that you said that we were talking during the break, that perhaps people
03:21are screaming at their TVs when I'm talking about this number, Jedi Broome's injured.
03:27That's moving the number.
03:28I know that's, for you, a factor into betting on Florida in this game.
03:31Yeah.
03:32I think, to me also, the ability to throw multiple bigs, lots of bigs, lot of different
03:39matchups.
03:40Chin-a-loo.
03:41Chin-a-loo, obviously.
03:42Condon.
03:43The thing about Jedi Broome is you have to play different ways.
03:47Chin-a-loo.
03:48Around the rim.
03:49Chopper.
03:50Condon.
03:51Inside-out.
03:52How?
03:53Perimeter.
03:54To me, you look at the number of bodies.
03:55That's why I look at, too, that's 15 fouls right there.
03:58There's a lot of guys you can go up there and kind of make Jedi Broome work.
04:02Now, the interesting thing when I look at someone like Jedi Broome, to me, if you look
04:06at props, is maybe the three-point shot, depending on who gets the bulk of the minutes.
04:13If it's someone like Condon or, obviously, Chin-a-loo, then you look at him to go to
04:19the perimeter.
04:20Maybe look at his three-point prop.
04:21I think it's one plus, maybe three, minus 150, 152, something like that.
04:25If it's more of the opposite, how?
04:26Now, it goes to the inside, so, to me, there's going to be a lot of, even though they know
04:31each other, there's going to be a lot of chess matches being made by Golden and Pearl
04:36in regards to trying to find ways to get their best players the shots they need them to get.