AccuWeather Severe Weather Expert Guy Pearson shares where the highest risk for tornadoes this week will be.
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00:00Breaking it down with me right now. I want to bring in severe weather expert Guy Pearson from our severe weather studio in Wichita, Kansas
00:07We've been talking about this threat since last week
00:10It became so apparent to us here that there would be severe weather here
00:14And I think it's really going to peak as we go through tomorrow guy now
00:18I set the stage for the warmth and humidity what we're going to look at next guy is
00:23The is the what we call the low-level jet the winds at around
00:285,000 feet and explain to our viewers why that is such a useful tool
00:36Yeah, good morning everybody
00:39Looking at the the winds at 5,000 feet. It's really how part of the dynamics from that
00:45You know the system coming out of the southwest and the bits and pieces
00:48It's how that dynamic how that energy itself then gets into helps with you know
00:54Transporting of not only the moisture as well as the temperatures, but then allows the winds
01:00You know through the column itself to actually have different wind speeds from what we're seeing at the surface up through and you know that wind
01:08Shear is one of those things which is that difference in wind speed as well as wind direction
01:13Then all helps to play into the different modes of severe weather and how much severe weather you do have
01:19I don't remember seeing the low-level jet. That is this strong over such a large area
01:24We're seeing up over 70 knots early tomorrow afternoon from Arkansas toward the Midwest
01:29And it just keeps going as we head tomorrow afternoon and even into tomorrow night
01:35Which tells us guy that we have a long duration severe weather event that begins as we head toward tomorrow
01:42All right future radar here
01:43I'm gonna stop this early afternoon and what I see guy are a bunch of little
01:49Thunderstorms the discrete cells explain to our viewers why those are the most
01:54concerning pertaining to tornadoes
01:59Yep certainly when you jump get to a tornadic environment
02:02It really likes to there are very specific ingredients and everything that tie into that to actually get it
02:08Formato or tornado to actually form and so if you have the air flow at the surface and everything that's
02:16Uninterrupted by other showers and thunderstorms around then it really provides the best environment
02:21So when we see these individual or discrete cells that we start to see either on radar
02:26Through some of the data output whatever the case might be it really suggests that you have
02:31individual cells that really then has all the environmental ingredients to work with to really
02:37Ramp up things and potentially go to
02:40Tornadic storms pretty pretty quickly and by tomorrow evening then it kind of
02:45congeals in the lines of
02:47Thunderstorms guy that are mostly damaging winds
02:50But you could still see individual cells within the line which tells us the tornado threat continues well past
02:57Sunset last night tomorrow night
03:00Sure, yeah, certainly, you know, it's one of those that you know, you start out with individual cells
03:05They do congeal. It does start to turn into more of a you know, widespread wind damaging wind event
03:12But you still will have because of the dynamics that we have in place and all the other ingredients
03:17You will still have you know little notches little hooks along some of those Boeing segments that will have the opportunity
03:24To develop tornadoes and certainly because we are in the overnight hours
03:28You won't be able to see them and certainly want to be paying attention to the weather going on in your area
03:33Through the evening and overnight hours a large threat from Traverse City, Michigan
03:39Down toward Austin, Texas the moderate risk Chicago Toledo toward the Little Rock or I should say
03:45Shreveport and then there's the high risk now a lot going on tomorrow
03:49But whenever you see this map, and we only have about
03:5125 seconds guy. Why are we worried about long-track tornadoes tomorrow?
03:58Yeah in here
03:59It's one of those as we're starting to see with some of the data and things like that is those
04:04Individual cells at the very beginning, you know, they're in a great environment
04:08There aren't a lot of other thunderstorms in there as well
04:11and so it can really feed off that environment and travel longer distances because of the
04:16Uninterrupted airflow into those tornadic cells. Yeah, the highest risk there
04:20You could see a large area where we think there's going to be dozens of tornadoes on the ground
04:25Accuweather severe weather expert guy Pearson guy again. Thanks for joining us here