During a House Financial Services Committee hearing, Rep Bill Huizenga (R-MI)
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NewsTranscript
00:00The gentleman from Michigan, Mr. Huizinga, who also is vice chairman
00:04of the full committee, is now recognized for five minutes.
00:07Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and Dr. Cohn, good seeing you again.
00:11It has been a while.
00:12I was around the first time you were in, but the Federal Reserve System,
00:20and there's been a lot of talk about the dual mandate, it actually is focused
00:23on three key monetary policy objectives, maximum employment, price stability,
00:29and moderation of long-term interest rates.
00:31Somehow that seems to get sort of forgotten.
00:34I'm going to ask you a too high, too low, or about right for a response to this question.
00:43Are interest rates right now too high, too low, or about right?
00:47Dr. Cohn.
00:49So I don't have a judgment on what, you know, the right level.
00:53They're embodying people's expectations.
00:55I don't have time for an explanation.
00:58Do you think they're about right?
01:00They're about right for what people expect.
01:02Okay. Mr. Wang.
01:04Today the 10-year yield is about 4%.
01:06I think that's about right.
01:08Okay. Dr. Michel.
01:11Sure. I have really no idea, and I don't think they do either.
01:17Okay. Mr. Kozol.
01:18They're slightly restrictive, which I think is appropriate given inflation right now.
01:22So too low?
01:23Slightly too high.
01:24Too high.
01:25Appropriate, but higher than they should be in the long run.
01:27Great. So I obviously, I wasn't here for the creation of Dodd-Frank 2010.
01:32I got elected in 2010, but I've been living with the echo effects of it ever since.
01:37I believe that today the Fed has even more power, more influence,
01:41and more control over our financial system than ever before, while improvements,
01:46as Dr. Cohn, you had said, have happened in transparency,
01:50partially because of the push that came out of this committee.
01:54It does, I believe, remain shrouded in mystery to most of the American people.
01:59And frankly, we're not talking about groundbreaking stuff right now.
02:02I mean, these are things that we talked about over a decade ago,
02:06and we were asking many of the same questions.
02:08How could the Fed be more transparent to Congress and the American people?
02:12How could they communicate its policy choices better, and then direct,
02:18and the direction it was taking so that consumers
02:20and investors could make informed decisions about today and the future?
02:25Dr. Mischel, let's start with you.
02:27You noted and cited a paper by economist John Taylor, one of my favorites,
02:34titled Monetary Policy Rules Work and Discretion Doesn't.
02:38As you know, Dr. Taylor became famous for the Taylor Rule,
02:42which essentially has a suggestion
02:44of guides how central banks could adjust interest rates to stabilize economic activity.
02:49I had suggestion when Chair Yellen was in here that she could create the Yellen Rule.
02:55It didn't really matter what it was, but were there some rules that were published?
03:00Now, everybody says, well, we do this behind the scenes,
03:02but the problem is it's behind the scenes,
03:04and nobody really knows what they are doing.
03:07They're seeing a guessing game.
03:09So could you explain to the committee, Dr. Mischel, how something like the Taylor Rule
03:14or the Yellen Rule or any other rule could have impacted the Fed's decision
03:18during the most recent economic downturn?
03:20Sure. If we go by the standard, any of the standard rules, really,
03:24that are accepted by a macroeconomist, then in that case, yes,
03:28their rates are too restrictive at the moment.
03:31If they had been following a rule, at the very least,
03:35we would know what they're doing and why they're doing it.
03:38And by we, I mean you guys, Congress, and I think that's the most important thing.
03:44There's no way to judge how good or how badly they're doing,
03:48because you don't really know what they're doing.
03:51And that's why a rule is important.
03:53Would something like the Form Act, which had been a piece of my legislation,
03:57would that be a good starting point?
03:59No, I think that's a perfect starting point,
04:00because it provides what we call a flexible rule.
04:03They put a base rule in place.
04:05They can pick the rule that they like, and they can stick to it until they don't,
04:10as long as they explain to Congress what they're doing that's different and why.
04:15I'm running out of time, so I'm having to jump around here a little bit.
04:19Obviously, the Fed now sets rates administratively, partly through interest
04:24on reserve balances, and there's significantly more reserves in the system now.
04:29I don't want to put words in Dr. Cohen's mouth, but it almost sounded
04:33like you said it doesn't really matter what the reserves are.
04:36And, I mean, what I need to know, though,
04:40is has the Fed incentivized financial institutions to hoard reserves
04:44instead of putting capital to work for the real economy?
04:48I think the liquidity regulations put a premium on holding liquidity,
04:55and they need to look carefully at that
04:57as to whether they're over-incentivizing holding liquidity.
05:00I don't think they are.
05:01It's important for financial stability.
05:04So I agree that there are adjustments, Mr. Wang said, to the leverage ratio
05:11that could be made that enable banks to intervene more aggressively
05:18in stabilizing the Treasury market, and that would be helpful.
05:22For example, exempting reserves from the leverage ratio.
05:27Okay. The time has expired.
05:29We may be following up with some written questions.
05:31I yield back.
05:32The gentleman yields back.
05:33The Chair now recognizes the gentlewoman from California,
05:36the ranking member of the full committee, Ms. Waters.