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Clifford Winston, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution, joined "Forbes Newsroom" to discuss his article, "Let's Not 'Sanewash' Donald Trump's Policies Toward Markets."


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Transcript
00:00Markets have continued to tumble in the United States, signaling that they are not a fan of the tariff whiplash.
00:07President Trump ran for his second term for president largely on a platform of,
00:12I am going to save the economy, I am going to steer this ship, I am going to fix the economy.
00:18Now he hasn't been doing much to quell economic fears in recent days.
00:22He's said that we are in a period of transition. He's even unable to rule out a recession.
00:27You wrote an article entitled this, Let's Not Sanewash Donald Trump's Policies Toward Markets.
00:33Talk about it for us.
00:35First explain, given the inflammatory nature of the title and the contents,
00:41really sort of what the main goal of the piece is.
00:45And that's really a conceptual one.
00:47That is, you know, think of any practitioner, whether it be a policymaker,
00:53whether it be a doctor, whether it be a refrigerator repair person.
00:58Okay.
00:59They all sort of have the same rational approach to their practice.
01:04That is, you first start off with a theory or a framework.
01:09Here's a problem.
01:11What do we know about it? What do we think is wrong?
01:14And how could we approach it to improve things?
01:17Right. First step.
01:19Second step.
01:20Then you turn to the evidence.
01:22What do we know about the method we want to use to address the problem?
01:28Is there any evidence it works?
01:30Do we have, in the case of the U.S., evidence from the states,
01:35if we want to think about a federal policy, or evidence from abroad?
01:39You know, have we learned anything from other countries that could guide us?
01:43Then finally, you go ahead and say, okay, I have a good theory.
01:48Yes, there's some evidence in other cases that my theory is right about how to fix the problem.
01:54Let's do it.
01:55Then you look and see how you're doing.
01:59And is the evidence consistent with what you think your policy,
02:03or with what your policy is doing, or what you thought it would do?
02:07And then you say, okay, should I keep it, or do I need to reform it?
02:12Okay.
02:13So, this is really, I think, a reasonable methodology for anybody,
02:18in any line of work, who is a practitioner that has to solve problems.
02:22The point of my piece is that in the case of policymaking,
02:27which is what Trump as president is doing,
02:30he doesn't employ this methodology.
02:34It's hard to say what he does, but whatever it is, it isn't that.
02:39And my point is, by being that way, he's irrational and delusional.
02:44And it really amounts to a crazy approach toward markets for policymaking.
02:50And I think in a number of areas, we're seeing this bad way of doing things,
02:56which I think in the long run is going to be very harmful.

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