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00:00Expected to be rather easy today, DRS, in the A.
00:03Chris Sale on the mound for Atlanta.
00:06Minus 220, that money line price in favor of the Braves today.
00:11Total stands at 8.
00:12Will it be that simple for the Braves against the Reds?
00:15Yeah, take a look at Sale in the season.
00:16Again, this is interesting where you're using some of those analytical numbers
00:19that sort of confuse some people just starting to learn.
00:21What are the ERA?
00:22Does it give up a lot of runs?
00:23It makes some sense.
00:23The expectations are some of the ERAs don't make too much sense.
00:26Look at Chris Sale in the season.
00:2835 and a third innings pitch.
00:29Look at his ERA, close to 5.
00:30Like, that's terrible.
00:31But his XFIP number is 3.25.
00:33The expected ERA out of that 4.84, Ben, is at a 3.32.
00:37Then you sort of slide it down and say, where's Abbott at this year?
00:3919 innings pitch, a 2.84 ERA.
00:42That's tremendous.
00:43But his XFIP number, much higher, at a 4.48.
00:46When we take a look at the batting matchups today,
00:48Chris Sale struggling a little bit with right-handed batters.
00:50And good thing there'll be a lot of righties in the lineup today
00:52to sort of counterback that.
00:53But McLean's got good numbers.
00:55And Trevino, that's it.
00:57That's it for the Reds today.
00:58So it's like, okay, where are the runs coming from?
01:00For the Atlanta Braves, the matchup, not fantastic,
01:02but also understand this.
01:04You take a look at Andrew Abbott, it's a good strikeout pitcher.
01:06Maybe he walks a little bit too much from the right-hand side.
01:08But the lineup, Austin Riley starting to come into his own
01:10a couple home runs in the past couple games.
01:12Ozuna, Olsen in that lineup.
01:14A better lineup for the Braves.
01:16And maybe the better pitcher overall.
01:18Don't love the game, but it seems like it's going to be a Braves line
01:20at minus 215.
01:21Maybe the runs stay under 8 in this game because, you know,
01:24I just don't trust those Reds bats.
01:26That's probably where I'd go in this one.