• 2 days ago
Transcript
00:00Sometimes you got to recap before you get to the actual games themselves was the final four take place this weekend
00:05The sports grid network has you covered make sure you get the bracket central in-game live
00:09Fantastic will be live for both of the final four games
00:12But how we got there mark certainly has been significant watching that Texas Tech, Florida game this past weekend saying to myself
00:18My goodness, what a ride for Texas Tech they find themselves in the final four
00:22Could they get hot enough out of the big 12 to take down some of the biggest beasts in the business?
00:27Which includes the Florida Gators if they had all the ropes late?
00:29What a comeback by the Florida Gators and Walter Clayton jr. Who finished with 30 points here
00:34I was so impressed by that Florida win and sometimes you can use those victories as a
00:38Catapult moving forward now as we take a look at some of the numbers here the Florida Gators 34 and 4 on the season
00:44Before pre-tournament odds to make the final four minus 135 they got there as the favorite preseason final four odds
00:5215 to 1 price preseason title odds
00:5560 to 1 price was Florida Gators looking good right now mark
01:00Yeah, if you're holding a Florida Gators national title ticket, you're in real good shape right now
01:06Because you're in a double-edged spot here in the semi-final and to get into the final
01:09if that's the case to make sure you get out of there with some cash, but I
01:14Think overall, you know, Florida was a team that for the last month leading into the tournament
01:20I said was the best team in the country
01:22And then I watched Duke roll through the next four games
01:27And now I have a lot of concerns about Florida being able to beat Duke
01:31so
01:32Just being fair here, but still, you know, none of these teams have real holes
01:38They're all very good on both sides of the floor. And the interesting part is I'm not sure if you're aware of this Donnie
01:44There are just four freshmen
01:47combined on all four
01:50Final four teams three of them play for Duke. One of them is Cooper's way. So, you know, this is a very
01:58Elder experienced group of final four teams, which means we get really good basketball
02:03Which means we get high level IQ basketball and that changes the scope of the game a little bit here
02:09I granted again
02:10I know all these guys with the transfer portal all didn't stay at their school for three years and and four years and and played
02:16There but nonetheless, this is this is grown men college basketball if you will
02:22No, it certainly is and grown men being the Auburn Tigers as well
02:26The number one seed they're coming in in their region a 70 to 64 victory over, Michigan State
02:30We're never really all that close all the way through Auburn really had them, you know out and it with an extended margin
02:36But the game got really interesting about 10 minutes ago
02:38Jani broom falls down or sort of tries to you know
02:41Braces fall and injures his elbow leaves the playing surface or should I say the court goes back and then comes back in but
02:49Really wounded out there with one wing not able to work all that correctly throughout the XM
02:55They had a three-point shot, which I thought was incredible but rebounds with one hand passes with one hand this point
02:59they win 70 to 64 take a look at their odds pre-tournament to make the final four minus
03:04105 price because they weren't playing all that well down the stretch in the SEC
03:08Preseason final four odds plus 420 price and that preseason title odds market of 20 to 1 so I ask you this question
03:15It was impressive to beat any team as quality as Michigan State in the tournament
03:18But moving forward the downgrade Auburn at all for the injury or possibly injury may be harming
03:25Janai broom here moving forward
03:29No, I mean I assume he's gonna be healthy I don't know that we've seen anything that says that he's not
03:34I genuinely believe that
03:36Auburn, you know of the four final four teams
03:40You know and then being the number forget they're the number one overall seed, right?
03:44This was the team that was the team heading into the tournament
03:47You know feels like the team that has and at least oddsmakers are telling you they've got the longest shot to make it but
03:53Or to win the whole thing rather
03:55This is an Auburn team that you know is starting to come together. You look at their performance against Michigan State
04:00That was the most sound performance they had of any game in the tournament
04:03It really was including their opening round game where they wanted handily, but Bruce Pearl was not happy with this team's effort
04:09We've had we've seen them struggle in some first halves
04:11We've seen them sort of, you know play bad stretches that Michigan State game. They started fast stayed fast and won the thing easily
04:19Yeah, it's it's a very impressive team in a tough conference here
04:23And it almost looked like there might have been a chance that like broom wasn't coming back to that game and maybe his season was
04:28Over which would have been devastating for Auburn
04:30but coming back in here another SEC tilt gonna take place this weekend and we're gonna enjoy that and watch that one play out in
04:35The final four other teams advancing it to the final four
04:38No surprises again, because they're all one seeds the Duke Blue Devils with an 85 to 65 victory on Saturday night from Newark
04:45New Jersey game stays under the total Duke wins by 20 points
04:48You just see the depth when Alabama coming in as hot as a pistol to that game only scoring 65 there
04:54It's the Duke Blue Devils
04:55Take a look at some of the numbers for Duke final four odds before the tournament started a minus 140 price preseason final four odds
05:02plus
05:04175 and preseason title odds at a plus 950. They were expected to make a run
05:08They're making a run how we feeling about the Duke Blue Devils moving forward into the final four in San Antonio
05:13You look like a freight train, don't they? I mean, they just nearly impossible to beat
05:19Yeah, they don't make any mistakes. They don't have bad stretches of basketball
05:24They're very athletic
05:25They can play up to the tempo of the team that plays faster or they can slow it down if they need to
05:30They can adjust their style of play. It's this is a one of the more complete teams I can recall in years
05:39In college basketball overall, obviously having the best player in the sport helps that doesn't hurt anything
05:44So now they just got to finish it off
05:47No, they do. It's it's really impressive and the fact that you know, Cooper flag goes down the ACC tournament
05:52Hey, he's gonna even be back for the tournament itself. They win the ACC tournament without him
05:56They come into the tournament and then also they detonate a couple teams right in a row
05:59He's completely healthy that team looks like they're on a mission
06:02But they're gonna get a pretty good test here by the other team from the elite eight into the final four
06:06That's the Houston Cougars with a 69 50 bashing of the Tennessee Volunteers
06:11two of the best defensive teams in the country playing a lot of defense which included
06:1515 points out of Tennessee in the first half of that game with the Houston Cougars
06:19Take a look at Houston on the season 34 and 3 preseason
06:23There's gonna be pre-tournament final four odds plus 125
06:26Preseason final four odds plus 240 and a 12 to 1 title price on the season
06:30Expected to do damage this year and they look fantastic doing it Houston through to the final four. I
06:36mean who doesn't want to see the
06:39Nation's number one offense in terms of offensive efficiency and the number one player in the country
06:45Against what may be the best defensive college basketball we've seen in 20 years
06:50Mm-hmm, like that's what I'm here for. I'm here matchup. So it's gonna be an incredible, you know, two semifinals to watch
06:59I'm excited for it and college basketball certainly on solid footing all four number one seeds two tremendous games on deck
07:06We didn't have to do that as I continue to joke about I missed the first game of the final four
07:10It stinks the matchups better the second one
07:12Both of these games are going fantastic and sports grid network has you covered?
07:16Let's take a look at the odds in the final four coming up next
07:20It's Tuesday April 1st Saturday night
07:22We're gonna have a final four with all four number one seeds and two fantastic games in anticipation game number one
07:29609 Eastern game number two
07:31849 Eastern that is from San Antonio, Texas from the Alamo Dome
07:35So taking basketball out of the arenas and into the football stadiums here. We'll see how that plays into it
07:41But if we do focus on the odds for these games first up six or nine starters
07:46We said Florida and Auburn this line opened up at the FanDuel Sportsbook your mark as a minus two and a half point favorite towards
07:52Florida it still sits today at two and a half every other outlet. I'm looking at two and a half as well the total
07:59161 and a half has dropped one point at the FanDuel Sportsbook live to
08:03160 and a half when you saw these odds hit the market. What was your initial thoughts your mark on this game?
08:09The number was right according to my numbers, you know, maybe minus two but two two and a half feels fair
08:16Where the real question is is as this week goes along
08:21Well the public pushed this to Florida minus three at which point in time
08:25I think you'll see a lot of sharp money come back in on Auburn. It feels like Auburn is the sharp side here
08:31From what I've been talking to professional betters and what they have forecasted. I think they're waiting no much to see as well
08:39Will the public do enough to move this thing to three?
08:41I don't know that it would if it if it gets
08:44Down to two first if the Sharps hit it first and get it down to two that it ever goes back up to two and a
08:50Half or three
08:51But I could conceivably see by the time we get closer to Friday
08:54Enough money coming in on Florida to push this thing to three at which point in time the buyback will come in
08:59Yeah
09:00I would be surprised if it does say two and a half because also you still have to take a look at you and I
09:03and how he factors because the good part is a lot of public practices with a lot of press in the stands in San Antonio to
09:10Watch these guys doing their warm-ups here to see if that elbow is actually affecting them because it's not as if it's like a hey
09:15It's just an average wing player a normal starter
09:18You're talking about one two or three the best players in the country that might have a fault of hey, man
09:25I can't get down low to get rebounds, which he's an absolute menace on the boards. I can't work in the low post
09:30I can't you know go down and get real physical here. That's gonna be a tough part of it here
09:35And I'm interested to see where that goes. So my initial thought mark Florida and Auburn
09:38I really like Florida at the minus two and a half point price now, even though coming in healthier not healthy
09:42I thought Florida would be able to beat Auburn had them both in the final four and Florida advancing to play Duke
09:47So it won't be a surprise to me. But what are you thinking about that total one sixty and a half live San Antonio, Texas?
09:54Dome environment any thoughts on yeah, the tempo should be there, but will the shooting be there in kind?
10:00I mean, I would tend to think that
10:04the over favors, Florida
10:07just because of
10:09the level of shooting that they have
10:12Both inside and outside. I kind of just feel like that's you know
10:17What really makes me feel like if this game gets into the 180s?
10:22That it's going to favor them when you look at the matchup. They played earlier this year
10:26It was a 90 to 81 final in a game where?
10:31You know, Florida
10:33Shot 58% on two-pointers. They shot 39% on three-pointers, you know
10:39It's hard to keep up with that level of shooting
10:41It just is and I don't know that the three-point shootings or Auburn feels like it can match up
10:48With this with the three-point shooting of of Florida. I mean numbers say that it can but
10:54What I've seen in this tournament just doesn't feel like it
10:58Yeah, it's it's again it's a great matchup here neutral court environment
11:01We'll see how that plays into it, Florida
11:03Auburn both be represented by their fan bases and we'll see which one makes the most noise
11:07The reason I bring that up is game number two is 849
11:10That's houston in the state of texas playing in san antonio taking on the duke blue devils
11:15Who notoriously also have a very passionate fan base that will show up this line opened up as a favorite towards duke at minus?
11:21Four and a half still sit the fans sports book today at four and a half some of the outlets have moved to five
11:25and five and a half the total this game opened up at
11:28136 and a half at fan duel still sits at 136 and a half and that is the number that's showing up at most
11:33Outlets as well houston and duke initial thought when those lines came down on both the side and the total for you mark
11:40Uh, this number will probably hit six before they tip this thing off. I don't have a doubt about that
11:44That said there's a very specific game script here for houston to win this thing
11:49They have to win the first half and they have to have a lead
11:52If duke goes into halftime with a four or five point lead
11:56All they got to do is make two buckets
11:58And make this a seven or eight point game and it's going to feel like 20 is what the lead is going to feel like
12:03Houston has to slow down duke as much as they can
12:07They can't they're not going to be able to play up tempo
12:10So duke getting into the mid 70s here is a recipe for disaster
12:15Because they cannot keep up offensively with what duke can do and so their whole goal is to limit the possessions
12:21Slow this game down to grind it and force duke to make very tough shots for 40 minutes
12:28Yeah, two great basketball games four great basketball teams all number one scenes winding up in san antonio
12:33It's the way it's supposed to be our number three is next mop odds. We got them next. Let's take a look
12:41Our number three live and underway on the early line series 6m channel 159 right here on the sports grid network
12:47Mark zeno donny right side breaking it all down and on april fool's no jokes here
12:52Straight to the topics straight to the information that you need. It's the way it's supposed to be
12:56It's the way we present it to you. The final four is going to be fantastic in anticipation on saturday
13:02We got major league baseball today. We will get to that in our number three
13:05The vibes are high brought out the pastels over here for the uh, blue shirt mark. I'm feeling good today
13:11I'm ready to go spring is here
13:13I mean look at you a million bucks
13:16You know, I mean you look good
13:18You'll do a show good. You'll you'll have you'll have great takes and great opinions and it all falls into place
13:25Does it's the way we do it around here at the network in here the framing looks fantastic on this show
13:29The mics are sensational the talent on air looks fantastic. I mean, how can it get any better?
13:35Don't tell that to ben stevens. I mean, you know, he's not here
13:38He's the supreme level of talent on the on the early line here. I'm just I just hope to fill in those very large shoes
13:44Fill those shoes april 1st and away we go now
13:49Before we get into taking a look at a little bit of action here
13:52Where we like to reach out to the public and get a poll together on which way you voted
13:55I do want to take a look at the masterpiece
13:57That should be the final four and the odds that present themselves on the fan blue sports book to win it all
14:02It's no surprise here for us mark. It's the duke blue devils at a plus 100 price
14:06The florida gators at a plus 290 houston juicy at plus 420 and auburn at plus 490
14:12You look at these odds right here. And if I will do it two ways mark
14:16Everybody's odds are plus 100 for me. Obviously. It's the duke blue devils
14:20Everybody's odds are not plus 100 and additional. I still take the duke blue devils plus 100. How about you?
14:28Yeah, I mean
14:30Like I said before the tournament started if you had a duke ticket when it was three to one for the winner
14:34You're not upset right now
14:35Um, and I don't think it's a bad bet
14:39To take get even money, um to go out and win this thing because again
14:43You'll be able to create a hedge opportunity in the final. Um where you might be able to you know
14:49Depending on what the line is and what it looks like might be able to make some money. So
14:52Um, I I think in general those odds feel about right
14:56um with auburn being the long shot so to speak between the four teams, but
15:01You know, uh, some of this too is dictated by the path, right?
15:05um having to be having to beat
15:08duke in the first round
15:10Would change the odds for houston, right? If houston was on the other side of the bracket
15:14They might be the second favorite behind duke because they don't have to play them
15:18That's the hard florida only has to beat duke in the final and after winning one who knows what the situation looks like
15:23So that's that that all plays into it
15:26Yeah, two spreads that you know both under currently now at most outlets under five points here one game
15:31We're looking for an expanded offense the other one obviously when houston comes to the table
15:34They bring a lot of defense and a lot of fun
15:36So I can't wait for the final four to take place
15:38But at this time mark as we say each time at the top of the hour
15:42On the third hour right here on the early line. We take a look at sports grid
15:46It is our fade the public poll today
15:48The question was asked which star is the best bet to win final four most outstanding player and understand this
15:55Wipe the slate clean is what you're supposed to do mark because mop is supposed to only count for the final four as it states
16:01The four options we gave the public today cooper flag at a plus 120 price walter clayton jr
16:07At a plus 380 price juneye broom at a plus 850 and lj cryer at a 10 to 1 price
16:13I voted cooper flag because I think duke is going to win it all duke is plus 100
16:17So if you want to take that leap that over the next two games flag is the best player in this tournament
16:22You get a plus 120 price at 51
16:24The low man on the total poll. It's lj cryer of houston at 10 to 1 at under 4
16:30Mark where did you vote in this poll today?
16:34I mean
16:36I voted for walter clayton, but I would I would actually put something down on clayton and broom
16:41Because one of those two is going to play in the final, right?
16:45So take it take it the half unit and split a quarter unit on each one
16:50um and
16:52hope for the best and maybe it's juneye broom who gets through at longer odds, but
16:56If either florida or auburn happens to upset duke it's because those two guys were the biggest linchpin
17:02for their respective teams
17:05I'll tell you it's it's interesting too because you never want to like short yourself because most people that are betting the tournament
17:10Obviously I bet a favorite before the tournament if it's duke if it's houston or you know, florida or whoever it might be
17:16It's like okay
17:16You're gonna ride that one out and then you might want to put a little bit extra here on who the mop might be
17:21But I got a feeling that there's people out there like you know
17:23What I only bet cooper flag to be the mop and if duke wins it and another player wins that award
17:29That's going to be tough pill to swallow because I still do think that it is the final four
17:33Mop, but you take a look at the tournament itself. We're like, hey this guy played really well
17:37Like it's supposed to be a clean slate from the final four into the championship game
17:43So you take a look again flag clayton broom and cryer as the favorites here
17:46You wipe the slate clean like we've already seen a game or two here where tyree's proctor went absolutely ballistic from three-point range
17:53He's 50 to one at this point like it would would it surprise you mark if like proctor has six triples
17:59In game number one to get them in their final and he might be the favorite at that point
18:05I don't think there's a world where anybody
18:07Who has a vote in this thing?
18:09Has enough clarity or non-biased to not vote for cooper flag if duke wins, you're right
18:15You're right like that the voters have gotten us they're all cowards. Um, they they don't they don't vote with
18:22What they see they vote with what they what they feel
18:26All right, and and that's part of it. And again as you said
18:29They will in their minds. They're going to say well, it's only you know
18:32It's only supposed to be the final four, but they watch the previous four games. They know what he means to duke
18:37They know what he means to everything that they do. They're here because of him. They don't survive to this point without him
18:43Uh for an entire ncaa tournament, they might have been able to
18:47You know get their way through the acc tournament, but they're not getting
18:50To uh to the final four without cooper flag and everybody knows that so
18:55I don't see a world where duke wins this and anybody but cooper flag is the most is most outstanding player
19:01And by the way, let me ask you this question
19:03Why is it why can't we just have the mop of the tournament?
19:06Like nobody's going to give it to a guy that got knocked out in the round of 32
19:09Like, you know
19:09It's coming from the teams in the final four and 95
19:13percent will come from a team that makes it into the final and the rest of that will come from probably the team that's
19:18Going to win the tournament, but I always get this because the human element always creeps into it like at least in the nfl
19:23It's like the super bowl mvp who played best in that game
19:27Now granted using the best player on the best team if it's close they lean towards the quarterback
19:31I understand that but the clarity will be so much easier like yes flag had
19:35250 point games before the final four and then had 14 points in 16
19:40But they still won it like he's still the best player on the best team
19:43But not just the best player maybe in the final two games
19:46I just wish it was the whole tournament and it would take all the subjectiveness out of the equation for me mark
19:53Yeah again
19:55I think when you just talk about the subjectiveness coming out of it
19:59It makes sense, but still this is very much a
20:03Award that will always go obviously to the guy on the team that wins it and it'll always go to
20:08The player who had the best overall tournament not just the best final four. I mean
20:13again
20:14There's a lot of other duke players on this team that are really good
20:16And if you look at some of the stat boxes and stat lines, you know and dive into it
20:21You'll see that there are other players there that would be somewhat deserving
20:25They just don't get the attention that cooper flag does and it's not going to change, you know that they are here for
20:32and
20:33him winning it and getting the number one overall pick in the nba and
20:37All that stuff we've we've already written the history and how this thing ends. So
20:40I don't think there's anything stopping that from happening
20:43Yeah, like down the line too mark
20:45You take a look at this mop number like for me
20:47I I think you have an opening with auburn if they can win it like if tonight broom isn't 100
20:51I don't know if auburn can actually win the championship
20:53Which means maybe it doesn't that be the focal point in the final four where tons of rebounds tons of points tons of minutes here
20:59Pettiford's is 21 to 20 to one price denver jones at an 85 to one price chad baker
21:05Mazzara at 110 to one price at this point. So when I line it up, maybe there's opportunities on teams outside of duke
21:12But then being said why outsmart yourself you think duke's gonna win?
21:15It's probably their best player's gonna win the mop and they run away with this thing here
21:19But again, it's all for one seats here in a one game playoff for those teams. It's so much fun to watch

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