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00:00here. We're going to start with the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington
00:02Nationals rotation number 9 51 9 52 1 35 start here. That's the Philadelphia
00:07Phillies and again in the Nationals starting pitching matchup today. Nola
00:11versus the lefty Parker. If we take a look at the odds and I just use maybe a
00:15baseline here for me throughout the spring of the summer as Fandul some
00:18opening numbers and see where some of the other books are coming in. Fandul
00:21would open this line here to minus 1 58 price towards the Phillies as a
00:24favorite of plus 1 34 dog for the Washington Nationals. The total once
00:28again in 8.5 as we look to Fandul that line is dropped that minus 1 58 is now
00:32down to 1 42 and across the board once again make sure you're shopping to get
00:36the best prices. 1 42s are out there as well as 1 50s plus money numbers of
00:41plus 1 25 down to plus 1 20. So if you're betting favorites or dogs, make
00:44sure you're hitting that appropriately here. Nola and Parker, I'll start with
00:48you tom in Washington. Give me some looks that you might like here. Yeah.
00:52First off, this game actually has some really nice weather. It's like it's
00:56gonna be in the 80s. A little bit of wind blowing out 10 to 15 miles per
00:59hour. I'm like this is an important thing for especially early in the
01:01season. Like there are dramatic weather changes, especially in the Northeast
01:06and there's dramatic differences that it's gonna be cold this upcoming week.
01:09So we're gonna see some cold stuff. We're going to that nice day in
01:11Washington. Some hitting weather. Uh, no, it's a good picture. As you know,
01:15his strikeout rate wasn't as high as it was previously in his career is not
01:18gonna be getting up to 29 30%. Parker's a little bit more interesting. Last
01:22year, a lot of 4 24 slugging to righties. He's a lefty pitcher for 53
01:27extra 1.33 home runs per nine with a little bit of wind blowing out. I am
01:32interested in some of the Phillies hitters. We will get to the home runs
01:34later, but you know, Alec bombs at the top of my list today.
01:38Alec bomb darn right here, and I have him on that list as well. So we'll get
01:42to it. But you're right early in the season. It's very important. Once we
01:45get into June, July and August, you can anticipate East Coast 80 to 85
01:49degrees. You know, some of those desert places where it's like Arizona domes
01:52will be shut at that point. Some of those guys are actually playing a
01:54little bit more for the elements until you actually have to start closing
01:58things down in Texas and Houston, where it gets just too hot in the summer. So
02:01we do take a look at 80 degrees and temperatures and wind blowing out the
02:03dead center field. That should help. Ball was flying over the past couple
02:07games between the Phillies and the Nationals. If we take a look at
02:10Mitchell Parker last year for me, he actually had some decent numbers. 646
02:14total batters that he's faced a 1 50 ISIL combined to lefties and righties
02:17and a weighted on base percentage of 3 15, which is really good. However, that
02:21Phillies lineup, and it's hard to have a compilation of just a few days. But
02:25last year they really hit left into pitching. Well, Turner, Harper, Boehm,
02:28Schwarber, Castellanos. But again, some of these elements are going to change
02:32today because no J. T. Ramuto in the lineup and no trade Turner in the
02:35lineup. As I just take a look to see as those lineups have just come out,
02:38particularly for the Philadelphia Phillies. Looks like we have Schwarber,
02:41Boehm, Harper, Castellanos, Scott, Sosa, Marsh, Rojas and Marshawn will be the
02:47catcher today as opposed to J. T. Ramuto. So a little bit different of a
02:50look for me as I'm lining it up. Left handed batters had really struggled
02:55last year against Mitchell Parker. But right in the batters didn't fare all
02:57that great. Take a look at a 1 73 ISIL power number coupled with the weighted
03:00on base percentage of 3 19. That's all that great. But that's the angle that I
03:04do want to play. So for chances for me on R. B. I. Props, I like the Philly
03:08side a little bit more than the Washington side because I think the
03:10pitchers matchup is a little bit more in focus for the Phillies. I had Alec
03:14Boehm to get an R. B. I. Plus 1 70 price listed a fando and then also Nick
03:17Castellanos a plus 1 45 price at that 3 65 for some R. B. I. Chances. The
03:23reason sometimes you'll find me taking R. B. I. Is at least two. What do I
03:25need, Tom? Just cash me one of those R. B. I. Props here for plus money. Get
03:29both of them. You nail them down. But those are two batters I'm focused on in
03:32the lineup today for the Philadelphia Phillies. Right. And this is how we can
03:37look to build in a little bit of correlation when we look at implied team
03:40totals, right? Where if you say you grab two that you like a team as an
03:43implied team, total four and a half, five, whatever might be, you grab two
03:46of them. They're both at plus money. Again, you just need one of them come
03:49through and you're coming out net positive, at least in that game. And we
03:52like to obviously extend that through the course of the slate. So that's a
03:55pretty consistent theme that you'll hear from Donnie and I throughout the
03:59entire year, whether it be R. B. I. Is total basis. It's like, listen, they
04:02have a five implied team total. They're gonna be getting on base. Someone's
04:05gonna be scoring. Let's try and find that player. Let's try to look at the
04:08matches between the picture of the ice allows wherever might be low strike
04:11area from batters or something. I love is not wasting chances at the play. Put
04:14the ball in play. Get on base. Not gonna run.