• 2 days ago
Transcript
00:00Game number one, 635-636 on the rotation, a 7-0-9 start.
00:04It's Mississippi versus Michigan State.
00:06This game's gonna take place in Atlanta tonight
00:08in a basketball arena.
00:10This line opened up at minus two and a half points.
00:12It currently sits at the FanDuel Sportsbook
00:14at three and a half.
00:15The total, Joe, hasn't moved at all, 143 and a half,
00:18and now currently sitting at 143 and a half.
00:21Is that number feel light to you with Michigan State?
00:24Is it about right?
00:25And also, a quick look at the total.
00:28Yeah, it feels right.
00:31Although I can tell you this, Donnie,
00:33having betting against the SEC hasn't exactly been great.
00:40If you've gone that route,
00:42they have done a pretty good job.
00:45In fact, now 61 and 33 against the number this season
00:51when they play non-conference opponents.
00:53So teams out of the conference playing the SEC,
00:57the SEC is dominated.
00:59It's the best conference in all of college basketball,
01:03bar none.
01:05So I get Michigan State being the favorite right now,
01:09but the SEC is also 10 and six against the number
01:12in this tournament when playing these non-conference teams.
01:18Michigan State should be the favorite.
01:19I don't see the number moving a whole lot more
01:23one way or the other.
01:27To me, this is about regression.
01:28We talked about regression to the mean with Alabama
01:31and what we got last night from Sears and company
01:34because they weren't able to hit anything
01:37in the first couple of games
01:39that they played in this tournament.
01:40And then look at what we had last night.
01:43Ole Miss has not missed, it feels like,
01:45a shot the entire tournament.
01:48Their path to the Sweet 16 has happened
01:51because they have absolutely hit everything
01:55that they have thrown up at the bucket.
01:58Michigan State's, again,
01:59the depth for Michigan State, unbelievable.
02:03I don't know that the total is gonna go up and over.
02:07I kind of like the under in this one.
02:09I feel like the number is right where it should be
02:11and which is why we're not getting a whole lot of movement.
02:14But this to me is priced exactly where it should be, Donnie,
02:18and I don't see it moving very much more here
02:21before tip-off.

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