South-east Australia will see a shift from hot, dry weather this weekend to cool, showery weather. Weather prediction by the Bureau of Meteorology at 12:00 pm AEDT March 14, 2025.
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00:00A shift in weather is on the way for southeastern Australia this weekend, as we move from hot,
00:05dry weather and elevated fire dangers to cool, showery weather as a cold front moves through.
00:11Our fire dangers are the main concern this weekend.
00:14Today, we're really looking at moderate to high fire dangers across the southeast,
00:18but as we move into tomorrow and that cold front gets closer, we're going to see the
00:22hot fire dangers starting to peak.
00:24We've got high fire dangers on the forecast throughout Victoria and southeast NSW, with
00:29extreme fire dangers for much of southern SA, including the Mt Lofty Ranges and Mid-North
00:34Districts.
00:35Now, those extreme fire dangers will trigger fire weather warnings as we go into tomorrow,
00:40and will promote very, very dangerous conditions for any fires that are ongoing in the landscape
00:45or any fresh fires that do develop.
00:48As we go into Sunday, fire dangers will ease for some through SA, but we're going to
00:53see high fire dangers increasing across parts of eastern NSW and through eastern Tasmania,
00:59as windy weather continues both ahead of and behind the front.
01:03Even as we go into Monday, some districts will still see high fire dangers on the forecast
01:08there.
01:09Now, in terms of our temperatures over the coming days, it's already quite warm across
01:13much of the southeast, with inland areas pushing up into the high 30s to low 40s, but in general,
01:19temperatures will peak tomorrow.
01:21Adelaide is looking at 39 degrees on the forecast, 36 for Melbourne, with low intensity heat
01:27wave conditions for many.
01:29As we move into Sunday, that cold front starts to bring some milder weather across SA and
01:34Victoria, but it stays hot through NSW, with Sydney hitting its warmest day with a top
01:39of 36 degrees.
01:41It's worth noting though that the coldest air behind the cold front will move in late
01:45Sunday going into Monday, however, so our coldest temperatures are likely to be seen
01:50on Monday.
01:51That's when we're looking at widespread temperatures in the high teens across the
01:54southeast.
01:55Inland, these temperatures are likely to reach the low 20s.
01:59It's also worth noting that it'll be so cool we may see small hail across parts of Tasmania
02:04late Sunday going into Monday, as well as possible snow flurries about the Tasmanian
02:08peaks.
02:11So how will our rainfall look over the coming days?
02:13Fairly dry across the mainland today, but we're going to see some showers starting
02:17to build across Tasmania as we go through the day tomorrow.
02:21Now it's worth noting that winds also build through that same period, and in fact Saturday
02:25evening going into Sunday morning is likely to be a very windy period, for Tasmania in
02:30particular, but may impact parts of southern Victoria and southeast SA as well.
02:35For Tasmania, those wind gusts might be damaging, so we may issue warnings around those winds
02:40over the next 24-48 hours or so, keep an eye on our website for those updates there.
02:46As the front starts to move through during Sunday, we're going to see a band of rain,
02:50showers and thunderstorms extending back across the mainland.
02:54In general, those thunderstorms are likely to be non-severe, but may still bring gusty
02:58winds and short, sharp downbursts as they move through, but we may see some severe thunderstorms
03:04developing across parts of northern and northeastern Victoria during Sunday afternoon and evening.
03:09Now they may deliver locally heavy rain or damaging wind gusts as they move through with
03:15the front.
03:17Moving through Sunday evening into Monday, the cold front will sweep up the east coast
03:21of New South Wales, likely reaching Sydney in the early hours of Monday morning with
03:25a burst of gusty southerly winds.
03:28Generally though, rainfall totals will be fairly low along the east coast, as they will
03:32be for much of the southeast, particularly through southeast SA, western and northern
03:37Victoria.
03:38In fact, the highest rainfall totals are going to be seen across western parts of Tasmania,
03:43although we will still see some moderate falls through northern Tasmania and parts
03:47of eastern Victoria as well.
03:49Thunderstorms may also deliver some moderate falls, but that's going to depend on exactly
03:53where they develop and move through the course of the weekend.
03:57So as we move from elevated fire dangers and dangerous fire weather conditions to cold,
04:02showery, cold front weather, make sure you stay on top of the forecasts and warnings
04:06via the Bureau's website and the BOM Weather app.
04:09Stay safe and we'll catch you next time.