Trump Trade War & Gold: ट्रंप के टैरिफ वॉर का Gold-Silver की कीमतों पर कितना असर? आगे कैसी रहेगी सोने-चांदी की चाल? क्या होगा सोना खरीदने का बेस्ट टाइम? कौन-कौन से फैक्टर्स Gold-Silver Prices को Impact करेंगे? इन सभी सवालों के लिए GoodReturns की Editor Bhawna ने Prithvi Finmart के Director Manoj Kumar Jain से बातचीत की. समझिए टैरिफ वॉर और गोल्ड का पूरा खेल.
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#Gold #Silver #GoldPrices #SilverPrices #GoldSilver #TrumpTariffWar #china #tariffs #unitedstates #trump #trumptradewar #tariffwar #tradewar #trump #mexico #canada #goldmarketnews #goldpricetoday #gold24carat #physicalgold #silverprediction #silverpricetoday #india
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NewsTranscript
00:00Sir, since the Union Budget was introduced on 1st February 2025,
00:05a trade war has started at a global level.
00:08Be it from Canada's side, China's side, Mexico's side,
00:12even India has not been untouched.
00:15So, what is the impact of this trade war on gold?
00:19Since the US President took over power in his second term,
00:23he has been showing aggression.
00:25And as soon as he came, he started imposing tariffs on all countries.
00:29In fact, he imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, China, India and other European countries.
00:37And here, he is talking about reciprocal tariffs since April.
00:41So, as soon as tariffs started, we are seeing that the US equity market,
00:45which was operating at a lifetime high,
00:48we have seen a continuous decline since the last 2-3 sessions.
00:53So, we believe that due to US trade tariffs,
00:56the global uncertainty is being created.
01:00So, in such a case, gold and silver will continue to shine as a safe investment in the future.
01:07And if reciprocal tariffs are introduced here,
01:10as the US President has been continuously saying in his statements,
01:14then there will definitely be more decline in the US equity market.
01:19There can be more weakness in the dollar index.
01:23And the benefits of that will be visible to gold and silver.
01:27Sir, one thing is clear to us.
01:29Because there is uncertainty at the global level.
01:31And gold is a safe haven.
01:33Due to this, its demand increases and its prices start increasing.
01:37Now, sir, let's look at one side.
01:39I would like to understand a relation with you.
01:41We are seeing that the share market is continuously declining since September.
01:46Apart from this, when Trump took over power,
01:50Bitcoin made its all-time high of around 1 lakh dollars.
01:54But after that, if we look at 30%,
01:57if I talk about the figures of 11th March,
01:59the decline of 30% has come in our cryptocurrency, Bitcoin.
02:04The share market is declining.
02:06Bitcoin, which is a cryptocurrency, is declining.
02:09But on the other hand, what you are saying,
02:11the gold will continue to shine somewhere.
02:14So, I would like to understand this whole relation with you.
02:18I would like to understand the outlook of gold from you.
02:20What can happen in the coming time?
02:22Are you able to see the range in the near future of gold and silver?
02:27Look, Bhavna ji, here we saw,
02:29when we were seeing that
02:31here the US equity market was growing,
02:35the dollar index was continuously strong.
02:37Bitcoin, that is, all the cryptocurrencies were also growing there.
02:42But since the US has been talking about trade tariffs,
02:47after that we are seeing that the dollar denominated assets,
02:50whether it is the US share market,
02:53or the dollar index, or the crypto,
02:56now we are seeing Bitcoin there.
02:59So, we believe that in the coming time,
03:01as this environment of uncertainty will be created,
03:04and the US is constantly talking about tariffing on all countries,
03:09because of that, the trade will gradually shift from dollars to other currencies.
03:16So, in this case, the dollar denominated assets,
03:18whether it is the US share market, or the dollar index, or the crypto,
03:22there can be pressure,
03:25and its benefit will be seen to be gold and silver.
03:28And, in fact, we are seeing this while being reflected.
03:31The ETF data issued in February,
03:36there we have seen that the gold ETF investment
03:39has reached a high level of 34 months.
03:43So, not only in India, but also globally,
03:46investors are moving from risky assets to safe havens.
03:50And, in this case, if the uncertainty increases due to the war,
03:54then definitely its benefit will be seen to be gold and silver.
03:58As far as the range is concerned,
04:00for the entire year, when we showed you the gold range in the beginning,
04:05we had given $3,000 in international markets and $90,000 in Indian markets.
04:11We still have that view.
04:13After reaching that level, we will review the fundamentals
04:17and share the updates with you.
04:21As far as silver is concerned,
04:23we believe that along with investment,
04:25the industrial demand for silver is also better.
04:27So, due to this, silver can go from $38,000 to $40,000 in international markets
04:32and from $1,14,000 to $1,20,000 in Indian markets.
04:37The downside is limited in both gold and silver.
04:41The maximum downside in gold is $2,680 in international markets
04:47and $80,000 in Indian markets.
04:51As far as silver is concerned,
04:53we believe that $28.50 will be a good support for silver
04:59and the maximum downside is $88,000.
05:05So, the downside is limited in both gold and silver.
05:08But due to global uncertainties,
05:10the upside seems to be better here,
05:15whether it is gold or silver.